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Our NBA player prop projections are back for tonight's prime-time matchup, and the model has spotlighted a few plays that really pop.
We ran the numbers, lined our projections up against the market, and locked in on the spots with genuine value.
For these Knicks vs. Cavaliers predictions, it’s not guesswork — it’s all driven by the data.
If you’re building your betting card, these are the NBA picks the model likes most for Tuesday, February 24.
Knicks vs Cavaliers computer picks for February 24
| Knicks |  Cavaliers |
|---|---|
| Towns u19.5 points -112 | Mitchell u27.5 points -112 |
| Hart o4.5 assists -155 | Harden o2.5 3-pointers +135 |
| Brunson o2.5 3-pointers -112 | Allen o8.5 rebounds -112 |
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Knicks computer picks
Karl-Anthony Towns Under 19.5 points (-112)
Projection: 18.9 points
Compared to last year's 23.8 mark, Karl-Anthony Towns' points per game have dipped to 19.6.
The New York Knicks have played at the fifth-lowest up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.
Whereas the Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 10th-lowest up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last five games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Knicks.
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Josh Hart Over 4.5 assists (-155)
Projection: 4.6 assists
Josh Hart has a strong path to clearing 4.5 assists because he’s not just a wing who spots up. He pushes the ball in transition, initiates sets in the halfcourt, and thrives as a connector who keeps the offense flowing. When the ball swings, he’s often the guy making the extra pass that leads directly to a bucket.
Another big factor working in his favor is New York’s dominance on the offensive glass. The Knicks are the NBA's fourth-ranked offensive rebounding team, which creates second-chance possessions and extended plays.
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Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 3-pointers (-112)
Projection: 2.7 3-pointers
This game against the Cavaliers sets up nicely for threes since opposing starting point guards have attempted the second-highest rate of triples in the NBA this season (41.4%) against them.
That kind of defensive tendency gives an elite guard like Jalen Brunson plenty of room to capitalize.
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Cavaliers computer picks
Donovan Mitchell Under 27.5 points (-112)
Projection: 26.5 points
Donovan Mitchell has hit the Under 27.5 points in six of his last 10 games, and the trend makes sense when you look at how he’s been used and the defensive matchups he’s faced.
Over this stretch, Mitchell has seen more balanced scoring roles, with teammates stepping up offensively and defenses collapsing on him in key spots, limiting his efficiency and high-volume scoring opportunities.
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James Harden Over 2.5 3-pointers (+135)
Projection: 2.6 3-pointers
James Harden has been scorching from deep lately, hitting the Over 2.5 made 3-pointers in six of his last 10 games.
Tonight, the conditions are ideal for Harden to keep that hot streak alive.
The Knicks have struggled to contain elite perimeter scorers this season, often leaving shooters open in catch-and-shoot situations and giving up extra possessions through their defensive schemes.
Combine that with Harden’s ability to create his own shot or pull defenders out of the paint, and he has multiple paths to knock down three or more from beyond the arc.
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Jarrett Allen Over 8.5 rebounds (-112)
Projection: 9.2 rebounds
Jarrett Allen has been a rebounding machine, hitting the Over 8.5 rebounds in nine of his last 10 games.
He’s consistently active on both ends of the floor, using his size, timing, and positioning to snatch boards over smaller or slower opponents. Allen’s ability to read the ball off the rim and box out effectively gives him multiple chances to control the glass, and his motor ensures he’s always around the action.
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How to watch Knicks vs Cavaliers tonight
| Location | Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH |
| Date | Tuesday, February 24, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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